Thursday, October 09, 2014

Price Action Basics Educations purpose

Strong holders vs weak holders

Ok, now if we have distinguished weak holders from strong holders. And what we really have to do - we want to know, at least to assume what professional players are doing. By professional players I mean dealers or institutions that have to consistently deal with big volumes and give their clients at least average good fills. Institutional activity When we are talking about institutional activity, we are talking about strong holders. That guys have almost unlimited buying power at their disposal, but it doesn't mean that they want take money from you, they usually have large order from their clients. It not always means that they want to purchase from weak holder, squeeze them and hunt for their stops. They just want to accumulate position not squeezing price against themselves. First of all, if you look at this chart, how do think, where (on what prices) institutional player was buying (if he was buying at all here)?

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Expected answer is that they were buying at lower level. But think about their volumes. They are big enough, and they simply would not have enough liquidity to build a position there. They usually have to accumulate - to buy several times, to absorb somebody's sell orders. Otherwise they will not have enough liquidity and make prices grow immediately So, their buying will be distributed within whole trading range:

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And the first clue of institutional activity is acummulation on moving market (rising or falling market). They don't have enough order flow going down to absorb, so they have to squeeze prices a bit, but nevertheless they have good average price, not the worst of the period. It's a wave-like process. It ends with a breakout

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Friday, October 03, 2014

Forex Trading Strategies l Shift in Value in strong trends offer continu...

Forex Trading Strategies lHow to identify price trend reversals

Shift in Value in strong trends offer continuation

Trend continuation setups

I have stated in my earlier posts that it is always necessary to see what market is doing in strong trends and some strong points to note down that If there is still "shift in Value" on neutral days, means that there is still Imabalance there in the market and recent rally IN usd/cad point out the same scenarios

Shift in Value Or Demand

You can clearly see in the chart that market has offered continuation when paradigm shift to the low side again on a neutral day and Market traps enough traders to cover in the long entries or go short with the momentum and Price has again market up and even with strong force.

Although it is not easy to visualize such entries but it should be a part of your trading strategies when you try to trade basic supply and demand but there are few points that you need to cover when you decide to trade shift in Value.

* Market should be in strong trend already

* There should not be strong sell-off (strong sign if sell-off days ends up as Neutral day)

* First sign of shift In value should be there After primary breakout

* Price is usually Marked up again without testing the shift in Value

How to identify price trend reversals

How to trade reversals

Few days ago, I posted a chart of gbp/usd to clear the doubts when you have found the Mature trend and want to "Identify a reversal" in such trend amid strong liquidation which is often good clue in reversals.

First of all those who don't check my earlier post check it here

Real Time Updates How to identify Reversals Chart posted Gbp/usd

As I have stated in my earlier posts, Its easy to spot trend reversals but most of them don't really happened before we start anticipating that reversal is on the card. Difference between success and failure of such traders depends on the overall picture attempts made and also the breakouts that failed. In the above mentioned charts, We clearly can spot that there was too many False breakouts that happened and fall short of supply areas which finally was good enough to offer an excellent risk reward ration before price Creates a overbought condition.

Those who visit the blog updates, have idea what is real overbought market conditions created by Bunch of traders to trap traders both sides of the market rather than depending too heavily on oscillators.

Time to wind up the week for more updates.

In the mean time check what is Continuation patterns offered by Shift in Value.