Showing posts with label Forex Technical analysis. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Forex Technical analysis. Show all posts

Monday, June 13, 2016

Fear of Brexit driving Pound into extreme levels of trading

Fear of Brexit driving pound into extreme levels of trading

We all have seen another volatile week for gbp/usd, reason being the news out of Britain Area regarding "Brexit" driving traders in fear of missing piece of puzzles, and hence some strong buy and sell orders but for me, its always been discipline and most crucial traded levels of rejection and one I have my eye on right now is crucial 1.4650 area, and that has been the point of focus for me right now .

Pound overall picture from Technical point of View

Brexit trading volatility

We have seen some strong rejection from highest levels and this can be another fakeout of demand and If we see some rejection in the box above in blue we can see massive selling at failure at supply levels, but we have to be patience and we have to wait for the sellers take position again from these levels as we have flipped again into the confluence of previous bull rally and rally to 1.4320 area, seems bulls hold the position again or we can see another phase of distribution around the levels I mention in the chart.

Focus has been shift to the two volatile events in the coming days and one of them is this week FOMC minutes, which has been the driver of US dollar Index Future at large and any statement made or failed to reach the set targets of inflation or employment numbers will give USD bears enough chance to drive the price lower and this can be once again the most favored scenario, but we will have to wait for the board members to justify their reason to hike or not to hike and this can really be volatile if there is no proof of another hike in coming months as employment numbers were very disappointed this month.

us dollar index

Currency Updates Buy Euro on Dips

It has been volatile week for Yen Crosses and fair risk after comments from Yen officials that they don't need further stimulus and happy with the recent recovery and these comments seen decent Yen appreciation, but focus is now shift on next week big Brexit referendum which will decide the fate of Britain residents, that whether they want to stay in Europe or would like to exit and that can really create panic and moves can go either way, so be patient and wait the storm to settle and it would be better If you don't schedule any trading activity during the next week because of uncertainty.

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