Role of Candlesticks In Overall Trend Prediction

Hi Traders,

Its being a busy week overall as We got some real setbacks for Euro Bulls, FOMC Tone was more of the same But ECB President Draghi really seems worried and drag Euro down once again, But thats not important Because I always back my Charts to see overall position of Strong holders who are most likely to drive the price.

Roll of Candlesticks in Overall Trend of Eur/usd chart

It was clear from the example above that most of the time in broader trend we have ranges and direction is not clear but overall bearish trend is good enough to pick entries from smaller time frames. Chart above is hourly chart and we have some ranges since last couple of days and price maintain a support where retail traders look to enter few times and scalp the market for few pips, but those who use careless approach in "Forex Market", then he or she has to pay at some time sooner or later and that was one of those days where strong money dominate and Euro Crash close to 1.10% decline which has not happened since quite a while.

Was strong holders were Driving the price up

Example above truly demonstrates the logic of Currency trading where we can say that IF that breakout to the upside was not result of Panic then why market liquidate immediately and although market react immediately next day but that has to be a part of some event or price usually gravitates to the high but breach of high after few attempts was not possible and hence market needs sometime to react and that reaction come prior to release of a Crucial event and all we need was to wait for breakouts and use logic if that was a pullback entry offered at the top of the range.
Rule of the thumb is never buy at the upside breakout and never sell at the downside breakout but that does not clear the fact that you always look to pick tops and bottoms but overall logic has something to do here where price made few attempts earlier to breach the top and was in sideways market and Overall picture was bearish.

Take a look at Usd/chf Chart which is Negatively Correlated With Euro

Here I have posted a chart of usd/chf which is negatively correlated and that chart I post on "Friday" as well, where I mention Value Migrates immediately and there was no stopping afterwards and If you watch at the bottom that if price was reversing then why it did not move exotically against the overall trend, which is in itself a great clue that market don't want to move away from higher prices and consolidate after every sell off and suddenly we see some buying interest and market try to breakout with early sign of buying which is exactly opposite of the charts I posted above of Eurodollar.

You still think Candlesticks plays any role in predicting the trend.

I am not denying the fact that candlesticks are important and they represents the activity of traders but If you do want to utilize it then use it with the overall picture and Use it on higher time frames where it truly signifies the overall picture and who remain in control for a particular week or day.