Sunday, October 02, 2016

Weekly Review week started 2nd october 2016 ---- Us dollar gold and euro looking for direction

currencies and commodities review

Trading was quite light amid consolidatio due to profit taking during weekend and largely due to lack of fundamentals that drives the prices. I am waiting for trading to resume this weekend and as this week is another NFP week so one thing we can see is movement in USD crosses specially Us dollar future, gold and euro.

Prices of Us dollar and euro are in extended choppiness

Its nothing new in Forex trading that currencies went into deep sleep and price often do that when there is no participation by strong holders and volume behind moves are very low and spikes often got faded immediately or in next few hours and it never too far away from catching stops both ways and price start resuming trend again or even can reverse and in case of Euro price resumed its downtrend post Brexit and fall apart along with pound but has found support but approach to overall supply has been so compressive that I waiting for reaction at test of capped supply and Will look to short towards the alone origin and it could turned out to be a best risk reward deal if it behaved as expected

Us dollar can remain bearish prior to NFP Data

As far as weekly review or opportunity is concerned Euro will remain bullish and you can see buy on dips scenario but If we face relatively volatile price action for a session or two we should atleast wait for breach of strong supply or demand and in this case 1.1050 and any rejection from new highs and breach the mentioned area then we can look to sell the retests and that is the best way to trade price action.

Trade plan and strategy to trade currencies future and gold

Main purpose of this blog is always to let everybody give confidence and alert traders of possible opportunity available this week and also about technical knowledge. I always use to have one trading strategy and plan that give me clues of risk and probabbility of movement in currency in the coming week and I often keep eye on risky events and possible reason of rejections and stops. e.g this week I expect euro to show more movement as compare to its rallies in recent weeks.

Reason I am quite cirumspect because im my last post I expect price to hold recent support and that is what price has done and it holds and in such scenarios when price holds one area then it possible look for the next strong area that is holding the price up or down. As a traders you might have heard few technical terms like capping supply and retests and that is what exactly price respond to capping supply and when it retests the previous zone which hold the price up we can again look for this area to give away and then the whole context might be easy to understand. I will soon post chart on the idea what I am expecting right now and that is what forex trading is all about as it is about a plan to keep things straight and target the pairs that best suits the opportunities wise i. the coming days or weeks.

Friday, September 23, 2016

Long term updates of Euro-dollar. Approach to trading levels ---Forex trading strategies

Forex strategies ways to find imbalance on a currency chart In this article, I have taken the example of euro-dollar chart to let everybody know that price respect strong rejections and strong levels while approaching those levels and taking these into mind can really improve you as a trader, and when you have similar things in mind then You are surely going to approach every trade like a pro.

Euro dollar sitting on strong level of 1.1150-1.1190

Last week we had a test of 1.1110 and that level was faked out with a rally above 1.1190 and since the time pair has breached that level we have seen strong rejections out of the level and reason been not too many traders or institutions interested in trading these levels and they trap traders with trendlines, fibos and patterns and recent downtrend line could set another example of rejection getting bought out strongly once again and we will see rally towards 1.1390 area once again and we can again see downside rally towards 1.1100 area, and we will see how price behaves on those levels to make them possible tradable opportunities.

Wednesday, September 21, 2016

Us dollar Futures and Federation policy---- A strangulation for traders

Forex strategies ways to find imbalance on a currency chart It has been quite a while since federation has hike the rate in sequences but It has been while since last fed make any changes in policies and that is why US dollar futures has been in ongoing extended consolidation, and there would be no changes whatsoever till we start the next financial year and trader fed will have enough data to rule out any further hike or give traders what they want. But talks of december hike is again on the cards and it has been quite a long way to go and we can witness fall in US dollar till we got firm indication from FOMC that rate hike sequence is just about on its way.

Wait and watch policy for US dollar traders and don't expect anything

We can witness bit panic rallies today from on 21st of September 2016, but I won't expectation anything more than retail traders panic rallies and don't think any institution or banks would enter the market and make those rallies much smoother one.
I still waiting to federation to be more dovish today and area of 96.40-50 hold any upside rallies and then we can soon witness US dollar to find headwinds and rally towards 94.90 area and I would post a video and update If we don't see upside rallies which break through 97.10 area, but I have never witness such extended consolidation and may be us election could be the prompt reason that come to my mind and that is how I approach my trading activity and hence we still can see downside rallies towards the mentioned target and today retreat from higher levels could just be the start of downside in coming weeks or even months.

Also watch out for RBNZ rate decision couple of hours after FOMC

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