UPDATE ====>>》》Trade Closed for +7 Pips.
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Chart shows test of EMA and rejection and that also was previous swing. Price started to consume the sell orders and also keep checking the demand with the test of EMA. At the time of entering price pullback to check the strength of trend & post strong bullish candle and the test of orders at this candle was reason to find bulls again.
Hi Readers,
I have been testing a system based on price action support resistance to trade for Intraday scalping & result of previous couple of days are quite encouraging. I've practice on more than hundred of mechanical systems in my trading career of over 9 years but non of them is profitable except couple of them which I've shared with you earlier & I would like to share the antanomy of trading forex with EMA. h3 What is EMA & why support and resistance is important to filter trades.First of all, I would like to tell you that EMA is the average price of past number of candles and its concept quite vague without the help of price action & support and resistance. Ema actually is used differently for different pairs as different pairs react differently on EMA settings for different period so you should always check back history with different EMA settings to see which settings should be used for a pair which is trending.
While trading EMA one need to make sure to use technical indicators like trendline, candlesticks & accurately mark support and resistance on two time frames higher than time frame you are trading. Marking support and resistance is important to set stops and targets as without its use you cannot develop any profitable strategies no matter how accurate systems you developed.
Chart I posted above is gbp/usd chart, and EMAN settings I used for this chart is (72,20) SMA to close. This is a perfect example of how PA should hold when trend is picked up. There are arrow marked when EMA reject the low values and EMA is providng strong value and value shifts higher. There was one break below EMA which was yesterday and immediately after that close we saw a strong outside bullish bar to reverse the prices higher again clean and high probability trade came when US market was about to take over London market.
When market test the EMA we already had breakout of a bullish flag & that time we were entering the most productive market session and target was daily high at 1.3438 & entry came at 1.3385 which was above the yesterday. If you move down to m5 chart you would see the outside bullish bar contained 13 pips, which breaks above a falling trendline and that was our entry point. You can easily set your stops below the swing low of that rejection or few pips below yesterday high and get good reward for your scalping trade & that is how price action with support and resistance should be traded with the help of EMA.For Intraday scalping in Currency trading, one should always look to use pivots or good support and resistance or fibonacci tool or trendline if it is providing good support and resistance. Always look to trade logic with good risk reward. Although I don't consider this method a completely one dimension mechanical system but still aim for good rewarding trade increase the probabability & help in money management calculation.
I would keep updating the blog for next few days with some scalp on different pairs and would also update you if there is any other filter that can be used with this power combination of EMA price action support and resistance method.
Its been quite a while since I talk about the trading education, busy with my new scalping experiments but still the prime motive is to let everybody aware to where to look price action. Price action zones are the best way where to look for reversals. I always look to trade reversals in forex as I always look to jump into the trend on pullbacks keeping in view monthly, weekly & daily supply and demand zones.
Below I have posted Australian dollar h4 chart which is trapped between zones and looking to take stops both sides of the market. When a pair is trapped between rallies drops and drops & rallies then we should always wait for the unfilled orders after market hit the next extreme.
Price is capped between two zones below the historic level 0.7730 which holds the price down for two years. When price look to stay time below or above a level the reaction to these levels are imminent as first attempt to this level bulls rallies to 0.7900 area, but there was lot to come when you shift to monthly level which clearly shows a false bull candle and I would now keep a watch on monthly trend line perhaps to the end of this month and see if price react again with the same approach on daily & hourly time frames.
Buying euro @ 1.1902 for retest of 1.1935 with stops around 1.1870
Trade is valid till 2 hours after european open & if target is achieved within that period then we will close the trade immediately.
Expect a test of cap around 1.1935-40 area which hold till New York open & when it was breached with a false breakout price tumble & now I expect yesterday lows to hold the price for retest.
Target hit trade close at +30 pips 2P.M (+5:30 GMT)
wait for this cap to hold the price above 1.2680
Note :-- Price capped around this area bullish move from 1.2715 can extend for stop hunting but will be limited to 1.2730 and that is protective stops are around 1.2735
Target 1.2690 is set to the origin of up move and first engulf of price action zone.
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I would like to see more Price action to unfold if we see a test of 1.2040 as failure. Price really capped between two zones 1.1650 to 1.2040 & if get entries both ways then I would surely look to post an update.
Trading is not only about entries as it depends on how you manage your risk. There are several entries are always on offer but do we need to take or consider all of them even as to practice or check trades ?
Understanding price action is way beyond making consistent profit. You can analyze multi pairs at a time to make best use of the entries on offer but we must think of the risk we are taking on so called cherry trades. There is no doubt that big players, banks and institutions manipulate traders as they can push the price in any direction but as a retail trader we must accept the fact that our trading activity should be limited considering the fact play a waiting game.
-As far as my trading is concerned, I usually don't trade too often as I don't have to but if there is a reward of 15-20 times of the risk and reaction don't let me wait for weeks for choppiness then I always put the foot on the paddle. Higher time frames does help but if even they are looking direction then I don't bother to look at daily activity.
-Forex trading is somewhat different in a way that it can move in a week from downtrend to uptrend but as we know market trends 30% of the time and we have to take decision that when we enter market trends should resume or keep moving the way it was earlier.
Daily time frame is good area to watch as I told.in my previous post. Price action does require fuel to trend and there are some late entries when targets are reached and happens stop hunting before another big players resume the trend and this type of activity is usually done within a month.
Its has been quite a dialema that what price action. Is it a self-emphasis trader's curse. Trading price action is something like analyzing top to middle level management and then the quality of the product itself telling the story.
Top to down analyzation is meant by looking at monthly chart to see who is in control and looking to weekly determines the strength of the recent moves and daily is very good for entry level and nothing below that I have ever traded nor recommended.
Daily time frames downtrend or uptrend is most of the times is temporary as 22 daily candles consists of one monthly candle and imagine a powerful uptrend or downtrend on daily finish as a dozi candle on monthly.
We make things complicated by day trading isn't we ? I hereby will help you understand the top to down trading analysis filtering the quality of trades that we must take.
As you see in the chart above,weekly trend is up. Several higher highs followed by fail to make a new low. Rejection at trendline tells us that price will probably look to pick up strength soon atleast on lower time frames.But still there has to be a reason to catch the reaction with entry which offers good reward. I still expect price to make a new high soon above 1.7600.
Price reacted at support which is also the source of previous down move and it was also completely ignored in the upmove as we can expect weekly and monthly moves just use to ignore lower time frames orders and trading higher time frames use to wipe those whispaws from your trading. Take a look at the chart.
We are approaching for october us employment data & perhaps the one to focus before next fed meet to raise the expectations of next fed rate hike. But I really don't put my focus on fundamentals as its always the charts which draw my attention. Recent choppiness has not provide any clear price action opportunity as price has been paused after big moves looking for market to respond and we can witness strong volatility when data will be released.
I always look for recent trend strengths and see if there is cautious recovery is on proceed to look for opportunity to trade with the trend. I have explore few charts ahead of the NFP reports and found usd/cad lovers looking for breach of important support of 1.2300 & then you can short on return it but it entirely depends on Pa how it approach the support but a classic trade opportunity is waiting to be traded.
As I've already mentioned that most of the price action patterns failed because all of are probably based on fibo ratios, trendlines or head & shoulders breakout patterns & that is why they all are prone to fail most of time. Failed failures patterns are best to try out sometime if we follow strong Drawdown rules and don't carry loosing trades too far.
But As I said there are few rules to trade every pattern exist and well worth practising. In this brent oil chart price spent lots of time inside boundries and coming out of strong breakout and then price consolidate abouve that & once we saw this breakout a pattern build and this is how we can see market never lets you trade pending orders above breakouts.
After market breaks out something was left on the table and that was taking out stops of retail traders and those who trade breakouts once again had to covered but market demand or orders was just below the pattern where I mark red rectangle and once first test was completed we need to notice if price could desperate to recover & that is what happened and market build another one and second entry was offered at test of the previous holding resistance.
I would update the chart as market has reached the pa zone again for oil as this could another move up if it hold and if we see market give it away easily then we can see this breakout could be target for shorts.
Stay tuned for updates.
Forex market always move with sentiment and that sentiment can depends on various factors happening globally, and there can be short term rumours on tops and bottoms and beleive me they do work only in the opposite directions once the storms settled.
I have seen few of those moments in recent time and huge gap in strong downtrend in Euro when first round of French election ends and results were to be published on Sunday whe Forex markets were close and we see few more spike following the start of new uptrend when price consolidates for months after "Brexit", vote last year in June 2016.
In those election momemts, nobody believe the majority but Forex market already was ready for shock as we already witness move from lows of 1.0490 to 1.0750, and till date Price has moved upto 8% in two weeks and the fact is beleiving the facts not rumours.
Few more things we need to know about the market that we must understand that price is random in nature and it has nothing to do with past and history, but logic and synchronize moves does help traders to sight setups that requires low risk.
It might seems strange that as if every move is different and price react differently by pip and ratios but our mind has to be trained to view what is happening on charts rather than assuming what might happen if an area is breached, as move depends on action move and then reaction as series of events constiutes a movement
Everyone in this financial market looking to make profits and they work very hard to succeed and make a living out of it, but only few of them succeed. There are rise and fall in every trader's life and practice is the only way to learn skills and keep a record of facts that are repeatedly manipulated.
But wait ! does really we see repeatedly moves in forex market or any other financial market and those support and resistance, indicators, trendlines and fibos really work in forex market. My answer is 'no'! Reason being simple as we are trained to visualize only those things which are used to trap.
Believe me or not as big movers don't have any charts and they simply throw signals on chart to institutions to trap traders and do stop hunting.
Its been 9 years of struggle for me till I found articles that really helped me lot and consistent help for 1 and half years, totally change the way I approach the forex market.
Interestingly, in the meanwhile search through tons of blogs that sells crap resources and still make millions and they dont bother what happens to traders using that material.
I myself used them a lot but directional bias was my big problem and even though I had good cherry pick trades once in a while and excitement to trade the same patterns was another reason for me falling for same trap but you will be shock to know that they still keeps the traders interested by couple of move favoring their lgging techniques but in the long run, they hardly let any easy money off the tables for retail traders.
Forex market is always driven with risk so we need to remain sundued and learn to stay on sidelines for a while and wait for opportunities to come again on our side.
Intersting fact is this which come as a surprise which is us dollar strong sell off which noone expect and as a result usd/jpy fall 4% in two days as euro also find bids on the last day of the week.
Market has still not come out of any conclusion and news from us and chinese data still be eyed for riskier assets.
Point to follow for price action traders here is what to expect from market at the start of the week when trading resume, so good signs are always seen when market ends the week on highs and lows and pound and euro did exactly that.
So, for me I would like to see more accumulation on shorter time frames and see if there are enough space for low risk opportunities but even if trend is matured there would be more consolidation and stop hunting before price finally reverses, but chances are too low but market often hints before it start planning its next move.
This videos of pound sterling truly signifies the two possibilities in which in one of them price is reacting before supply and the demand after the strong supply is still protected quite a number of times and it is two way price Action which describes this is first sign of accumulation retested after the price consume all the supply after "Brexit", and in second manner price is looking to react around 1.2310 the strong demand which is protected so many times as it hold the prices down and when it was broken it has been tested multiple times without an engulf but thin price action suggesting consumption of orders and If we see the breakout through it and After the holidays are over we can see price Approaching towards 1.2550.
So IF 1.2310 is broken My entry would be as follows
Sell Stops around 1.2535 Stops around 1.2560
Target first would be around 1.2300 and second would be 1.2150
That's more then 20 times reward to risk.
Good Luck Have a Nice Christmas Ahead.The fact is... most traders have ample knowledge of the market but yet still can't make a consistent return. It is my belief that they're learning about the markets for the wrong reason. Instead of learning a new strategy to add another edge to their tool box, they're learning about technical analysis in order to avoid losses!
Hi fellows readers, Its quite a while since I have updated blog with any chart or suggestions but the situations did not allow me as I really waited desperately for the Nov. 30 OPEC meeting to see If there is still holdings on crude can really move the market and create the panic and create risk and that is what has happened. But I really focus on charts to see the reaction and my last week entry to Aud/cad was the reason why I wait and concentrate a lot and there was no risk and reward is already 10-12 times as I mentioned areas on the chart very clearly.
As I mentioned above, you can watch as clearly on chart there was strong reaction while first supply hit the market and the reaction after breaking those areas was quite strong and you mentioned the first break and approach and price fell 400 pips and then we see reaction to few pips away from main supply and price fell to the bottom and from there we see reaction to supply which was consumed and another reaction to same consumed level to the demand which confirms that the true supply is somewhere else and that pin point react to the red line which I mentioned the was the real area of clean orders.
While trading is not the difficult but even as not as easy as we first anticipate while we make decision to trade Forex, We build several forex strategies, search several resources online for knowledge and opt for different style of trading with taking help of several indicators. But none of them work at all and atlast we left with nothing but to start it all over again.
While I spend years looking for help and certain methods to help me build any system that can help me make some money and built a successful career in Forex and Future market but all those years.
Let's understand the whole chart step by step and see what are the rules we need to know to use supply and demand in Forex trading. First of all we saw a strong bearish pressure and a recovery which calls it bearish flag and this bearish flag has two strong supplies as mentioned in the above chart.
While price test the first supply and got rejected and found demand and when price test it the second attempt then because of the fact it was consumed so price had to find demand at the last big orders where price spiked off. After price went through this first supply it met with the second supply area and the rejection was obvious but we never expect them in real as price can ignore strong supply and demand areas anytime.
While price rejected of this supply it use to behave at the previous supply turn demand and price found new buyers there and now we see the approach to the real supply of the flag which was also a strong bearish pressure and top of the bearish flag and approach to this flag was quite compressed and all the orders get filled and we can short at this strong supply when we have such context fiting into the background and we don't need any indicator and trendlines to tell us what to do in such scenarios.
I will update the blog for the rest of the month to help you find imbalance and some rules you need to follow to trade supply and demand in currency trading. It is not that difficult to trade currency with supply and demand but still it has to be patience that you need to test everytime you find setups on a chart.
It was quite a busy month of october with a lot happening around the world whether there are talks of supply cut of crude oil or us election vote prediction.
But In this risk of rallies us dollar bears and gold future has benefited the most but as we all know that three day federation meeting is about to finish today and focus is once again shifted on rate hike and uncertainty of us election and crude bearish rally would put a lot of thinking and I would expect these risk off rallies might continue till the us voting.
Speaking of gold futures bulls make a clear breakout and retest of 1274 area and retest of area with strong bullish momentum once again put bulls in charge for a test of 1306 level and I would recommend to put stops close as possible and use adequate money management in order to trade correction or reversals.
Trading would remain volatile as we are approaching Us election next week and investors and speculators will keep shifting their positions in this risk-off rallies as crude oil supply cut talks are in the news as well and meeting on 30th November will decide if there would be a supply cut of 4% set initially but there would be a lot of amendments can be made as Iran and Iraq are all set to enter oil markets with much cheaper crude prices and lot of consumers who are using high volume of crude have shown interest to get supply from much cheaper suppliers.
It has been a fact that people often look for mechanical system for day trading and scalping for quick profits but still they don't really know the way to do it and indicators used for scalping and it has been pretty difficult to select the pairs we can scalp and enough profits from it to continue to depend on Forex for a day living.
Forex Scalping is perhaps the most widely used term in financial market because there are not too many trends in stock and treasury market on consistence basis but there are few pairs specially exotic currency that really moves a lot on intraday basis for trader's benefit and that is the real benefit of working in Forex market rather than any other stock or financial Market in the world.
Checklist for the system.
Plot a 14 period RSI on daily Chart
Look for direction above 50 or below 50 for the trend.
Also plot 50 period EMA on the Chart
Move to 5 minute chart.
Check any movement that is above 40 pips
Trend has to be clear with RSI Value
Now apply fibonacci to this 40 pips move as shown in the below chart.
Now wait for price to correct 61.8% to 50.0% but not below 50.00 as I don't consider there could be any institution driving price that low to sell.
When Price retrace to the mentioned fibonacci number wait for the price to break below 23.6% .
Also check that IF price break below 50 period ema and retesting the EMA (real bonus if EMA and fibonacci provide cluster or confluence)
Last point check RSI and set stop above 78.6% which should be below 50.
Live trade example 16th October 2016 Gbp/chf
World Stock market are on a verge of falling over, and S&P is no different. Because of the fact US is facing assembly election next month and also federation chairman Yellen and his fellows looking for series of rate hikes next year. So, that all stands for strength in U.S dollar and weakness in stock market and I am still looking for test of the 2162 area,and then we could see decline towards 2072.
We have seen lot of sideways movement after we broke through strong levels and IF there are rallies then those followed by extended sideways correction and the area 2114 is much strong level both ways and any rejection here and there we could see strong decline ahead of the election in U.S. Reason being I am favoring bearish price action In S&P Index is that price has not correct too strongly after the rallies from the bottom of 1900 level and records high does not seems to be getting enough cash flow and market is quite hesitant ahead of election and that is why market can still be looking to get their funds out and spend in U.S dollar or any other liquid assets like gold and crude or even treasury bonds.
Talking of us dollar, we see a strong spike by us dollar which could be ready to break the recent one and half year sideways correction. keeping in mind last federation meeting was quite crucial as all the officials thinks of december rate hike is on the cards most probably and this lead to rally in us dollar futures immediately and since then there is no stopping as now we could see a rally towards multi year high of 102.00
Forex trader eyeing this rally and looking for small pullbacks and it could be test of strong trading levels which hold previous rally or pullbacks to ema and small risk opportunities which can give way to strong rallies in coming future.
Speaking of Us dollar one can track the main driver of us dollar future i.e Euro dollar and as we break below 1.1040, and now we can look for retests and rejection of this level and keeping in mind the risk involved we should keep the stops very small and look to drive the most part of this downside rally which is eyeing 1.0750
As a forex trader, we should be ready to take this type of risk and small risk trading strategies should be in our database as we must test them from time to time and make use of them when we need them most.
Technical trading is the way we can control our emotions and even in this type of tense situations where moves are happening so fundamentally, we should rely on our trading strategies for entry and risks, because rallies or statements can be revrsed anytime and we can caught on the wrong side of the market, so preparing good money management strategies to tackle with risk is a quality of a good trader.
I have prepared few checklists where I look to spot currencies which are trending strongly in the one direction and then I start looking for possible entries with small stop and it can be a historical level, rotation center, fakeout or even test of strong supply level with caution or with compression.
Forex trading is about timing and news can never help you ride strong rallies and news cant be a big driver all the time and the one very good example is canadian crosses which are in strong downtrend specially gbp/cad and also usd/cad which has corrected from 1.4700 to 1.2600 in no time even after strong bullish momentum during past few years. Reason being the crude which has recoverdd 50% from its low. I beleive nlw its time foe euro crosses to come under pressure soon, specially eur/cad which has somehow manage to avoid its bearish startoff. Now I would be watching the retest of 1.4730 level and from there I would like to see new downside presure towards 1.4100 level and I would update the blog with the charts of eur/cad and spx during this weekend.
In this Article I am about to discussed various methods where you can use EMA for better trade entries and the rest depends on your accuracy how you find trend and how you work with it to find more and better trade Ideas. But you must kept one thing in mind that accuracy of EMA crossover totally depend on type of timeframe you use and best use of risk reward.
First thing You need to find out is Watch out for break above 50 period EMA
Secondly, watch out for test of middle band and IF you want better entry then watch for second test IF first test failed to test band and second test closely waiting for band to touch the price and In such cases we manage to set pending limit orders with stops below last swing low as shown in the following chart.
Everybody keep asking questions about How do we start trading forex and can we really make a living trading it . It it never easy and IF you say you can do it with hard work and willing to spend long days on screen, and pick up technical tools plot trendlines and fibos and learn few basic candlesticks and use them all to look out for setups and congratulation to those who have been doing exactly what we need to be a failure.
Making a living out of forex could be the hardest job to do if you are a beginner,coz as a beginner you need to spend time to get use to profile its structure and specially the pair or pairs you want to trade as a beginner as it will put lesser stress and focus can totally be shift when you saw selective and rewarding trading opportunities.
One always thinks is it really possible to make a living trading just one pair and lets say if it is euro and it drives the sentiment and opportunity in euro is always on the cards as dollar index futures rely mostly on euro and us dollar is an international currency used for reserves for global transaction by almost every country.
So, us dollar future can be a premeire choice for investors and speculators and stay with it for atleast six months and just look trade clear swings rejections strong confluences and retests as I always mention in my charts.
But when you are on a role and specially at first phase of forex which is building strategies and understanding the limitations and risks involved, you are bond to show emotions and greed even you had great success in doing what you like and the worst part has not yet experienced and it often happens to almost everyone of us when e have no goals and no experience and we just trade for profits and everything is just buy and sell.
But I trade with plan after few years of failure and that plan includes the following:-
It becomes important for everybody to understand that you analyze the risk of every trade you open and for this you have to be completely aware of the risks involved and type of market you are trading and what is driving the price. Is it news or any unexpected event of riskier assests or price is just moving to catch the stops. It is the first clue when you see stop hunting that strong money is looking for areas to step in and that is why they accumulate price and consume all orders buy and sell and then drive the prices in the direction they want.
Then what things we should do to make a better living trading forex and How much do a currency trader make, so that he or she don't depend on any other income sources to make a living.
Let me help you with few examples and power of risk management.
I use these techniques after years of research and we can turn a $1000 dollar account to $1 million in span of 10 trades but there is no time limit and it depends on setups and time you are willing to spend to look out for such setups but good option would be look out for couple of pairs and start analyzing daily and h4 time frame for low risk reward opportunity.
I set up a plan in which I use to consider few points that risking 20-30% and look for 10 times reward should always be the good one and right approach to your trading. I know risking 20-30% is way too much for beginner trader but If You look out for lower risk and look to build your account with low equity, then probably it will take years for you to get to the destination. But if you still have a plan of risking the much you can afford and make money equal to your account equity, then it would sound good if you even have 20-30% success rate and no wonder you all have idea of what I am talking about even with this amount of success rate.
For more information hyperlink this page and look for updates for till next 7-8 months.Another question might be arising out of mind that how much initial capital do we need to make a decent living or atleast keep us interested that We would make enough if you keep a plan and follow it.
We can make simple things look elastic If we have a plan and starting capital of $1000 is more than sufficient and then you can turn you luck and fortunes to make best use of your skills
In order to make a living trading Forex and maintain a balance between winning and loosing trade first thing one need to know is to stop looking for shortcuts or holy grail systems like indicator of Robert that can help you find trends and You can plan your trading based on those mechanical systems. Best thing to tackle any problem is always track couple of pairs that are trending nicely and you can look for low risk entries in those pairs and look to enter in squeeze and then there is big chance to understand PA and make most use of the opportunity provided.
Its not easy for us to look out such big reward opportunities but overhead supply and compression to supply was a big reason for price to fail at the historic level specially when there is new low found and price made and attempt to rejection or new supply level. Look at the chart below for more information.
I will soon update the blog as Euro is looking for support around 1.1115 area and soon we can see a rally towards recent high and see the pressure made by bulls to make a break, and then there would be much better view of the recent price action.
We trade fibonacci waves, harmonic patterns in such a way to catch reactions at particular level again and again but common why market take turn at those levels again and again as price reaction at those levels is not random.
We just keep on learning different advanced price action techniques but never use our brains to come out with conclusions that what are the probabilities that a paricular fibo number will hold the price and a down or uptrend line will force rejection.
Shocking truth is these fibos trendlines and candles only tells 10% of the price history but as a matter of fact I never believe that a term trendline ever exists or helps trader to take trading decisions.
But as a matter of fact breakouts. Failed breakouts and approach to certain demand and supply level or retest of a particular are the most reliable and offer strong attribution of trading facts and as a matter fact are more reliable.
Trading was quite light amid consolidatio due to profit taking during weekend and largely due to lack of fundamentals that drives the prices. I am waiting for trading to resume this weekend and as this week is another NFP week so one thing we can see is movement in USD crosses specially Us dollar future, gold and euro.
Its nothing new in Forex trading that currencies went into deep sleep and price often do that when there is no participation by strong holders and volume behind moves are very low and spikes often got faded immediately or in next few hours and it never too far away from catching stops both ways and price start resuming trend again or even can reverse and in case of Euro price resumed its downtrend post Brexit and fall apart along with pound but has found support but approach to overall supply has been so compressive that I waiting for reaction at test of capped supply and Will look to short towards the alone origin and it could turned out to be a best risk reward deal if it behaved as expected
As far as weekly review or opportunity is concerned Euro will remain bullish and you can see buy on dips scenario but If we face relatively volatile price action for a session or two we should atleast wait for breach of strong supply or demand and in this case 1.1050 and any rejection from new highs and breach the mentioned area then we can look to sell the retests and that is the best way to trade price action.
Main purpose of this blog is always to let everybody give confidence and alert traders of possible opportunity available this week and also about technical knowledge. I always use to have one trading strategy and plan that give me clues of risk and probabbility of movement in currency in the coming week and I often keep eye on risky events and possible reason of rejections and stops. e.g this week I expect euro to show more movement as compare to its rallies in recent weeks.
Reason I am quite cirumspect because im my last post I expect price to hold recent support and that is what price has done and it holds and in such scenarios when price holds one area then it possible look for the next strong area that is holding the price up or down. As a traders you might have heard few technical terms like capping supply and retests and that is what exactly price respond to capping supply and when it retests the previous zone which hold the price up we can again look for this area to give away and then the whole context might be easy to understand. I will soon post chart on the idea what I am expecting right now and that is what forex trading is all about as it is about a plan to keep things straight and target the pairs that best suits the opportunities wise i. the coming days or weeks.
