Saturday, March 21, 2020

Crude Oil is facing the headwinds amid Cornovirus as Global Demand at the all time low.

Crude Oil Demand hits due to outbreak of Coronavirus

First of all, I would like to offer prayers for everyone fighting with outbreak of Cornovirus. Countries like Italy & USA facing worst hits in the days and weeks to come. I hope things get settled as we totally depends on nature to help us to get out of this crisis. Ofcourse, we have power and will to fight anything as we have done so far & I'm sure there would be help coming out of heavens to help us recover and stay healthy.

As I mentioned in my last post of Crude oil futures, where I wrote about the target of Crude oil around $26 a barrel, but as we get to the target too early than I first anticipated or expect, But now as things are getting pretty ugly globally, I don't expect there would be any demand of Crude Oil inventories for the next few months and we will see lowest crude oil price in the months to come.



Trump seems to fuel the Crude market with comments that He will try and set conflicts between OPEC & Russia, but soon comment from Russian camp came through where we witness that Russia is in no mood to favor any alliance with OPEC & favor Production Cut. Product Cut ? Seriously ! Manufacturing units are shutting due to cornovirus & World's Tourism is getting a hit as Borders getting closed.

Wednesday, March 04, 2020

Pound is approaching crucial support zone . Buy Stops will be triggered around 1.2705 to target 1.3233 zone

Trading levels for supply and demand Trading

Price has been very subdued followed by strong rallies in great pound and it is the only pair which has not pick up any momentum, no matter what the situation might. Rate cut hopes are in the air after Fed cut its deposit rate by 0.50 bps & Now people are expecting BOE to act . Carney will speak on future action tomorrow but I don't care as I watch only my charts and trading levels to be traded.




I would surely recommend trading at 1.2710-15 zone with stops just below the last rejection candle out of the zone as bullish dozi which is around 1.2669 level. If you really like to know the reward of the trade, then it would target the upper part of zone around 1.3250 zone and may be higher because according to elliott wave analysis final leg of wave c of 2 is on the way & it will target higher levels in coming months and years. So, all in all a very good risk to reward opportunity if you are position trader.

Saturday, February 15, 2020

Misconception about Price Action . Where you should look for Price Action in Trading

Price Action trading without Indicators IN this post, I would like to guide you through the price Action technique, which is hard to find anywhere. It is just the way I approach price action and flag & how I look for best risk reward and rate the overall success of taking a trading which is more than 90% . Take a look at the chart below. There is a strong level that has been seen collection of orders up and down. Price has already maintain a fakeout zone market with black line on the left side. Now as price is approaching the level again, we have seen a compression & now as we see more PA unfold ahead of the price approaching the fakeout zone we will witness more volitality and final rejection would been around 143.70 level.

Download my Supply and demand Strategy e-book on Crude Oil Futures download here


I have already show the example chart above why I look for most respect price action zone & approach is to the level. Price is about sequence of puzzles and a combination of Action & reaction and Now, Finally we will witness the final reaction to the level. Stops could be place 15-20 pips above the zone which is already capped with a fakeout.

Wednesday, February 05, 2020

Australian dollar trading Retails sales & Trade Balance Data

How to trade Forex Fundamentals

Australian banks is due to release Retail sales & Trade balance data on 6th February and recently there would be surely a setback on retail sales amid global slowdown and conditions in China (Australia's biggest trading partner)

IF there is a shortfall of trade balance, then there would be sales effecting it, specially automobile sector due to global slowdown . I would surely keep an eye on high price approach to 0.6800, strong resistance and psychological barrier.

Trade plan should be wait for the retest of 0.6800 & short it there & then look to set stops around 0.6825 and target 0.6730 as your first target and trail your entry for second target 0.6680.

Thursday, January 30, 2020

How to trade Double Marbozu in Forex. Rush Through Crucial Supply and demand levels.

Role of Candlesticks in Price Action supply and Demand

I have just exit my crude shorts around 53.50 levels & what a journey it was. Those who did not check my earlier post on how I manage to pick top of Crude oil, please Check the post here. Crude Oil Reversal

In this Article, I would point out few important patterns in Candlesticks against the trend, that giveaway to complete or short term reversals. Usually, they are trapped levels to trapped traders in opposite. directions and when they occurs or revisit, there are definitely rejection for short term or even on long term. You need to real the top down analysis i.e Chart from pattern occurence to the the lowest level which show some hints of price getting compressed or retesting with Fakeouts.

Why every Candlesticks pattern is used to trap market

This probably would be a hardest of statement to digest. Every Candlesticks patterns does not work, but yes, Reversal patterns are more likely to rely on but not immediately after they occur. But after the occurence & When and how much price reverses after the pattern occurs.


*Also Read :- How I manage to pick the exact top in WTI Crude oil

Strong follow throughs after pattern occured, are the one to mark & this is the first thing you need to note down, when planning any trade opportunity. Then you should mark the level with nearest support or resistance which give away to strongest rise or even decline. That is the reason why I don't bother testing charts every day in and out, but rely on pattern occur & they watch out the price action next following days.

Silver Future is a good hint of pattern occurence & reversal and retest failure