Saturday, February 13, 2016

Euro Dollar Weekly Update Possible low risk reward short entry

Euro Dollar short setup

Hi, Traders Its been a fresh start of the year as trends glooms But we saw few reversals on Friday which is a good sign as there is some nice recovery seen in Crude Prices, But I not still in favor of Crude prices blown up by demand or it is just short covering ahead of big key events next week which are to be scheduled.

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Euro Dollar Update Chart


I would still like to short euro for price last demand level from 1.1183 and put the stops just ahead of Friday Session high's around 1.1275 level and pick the first profit and remain on sidelines till first level is achieved and till the U.S close on Monday.

How to spot trend reversals In strong trends

How to spot early trend reversals in forex Hi, Traders

In my last post I post the how to spot trend reversals with basic demand and supply rules and In this post I will mention How to spot trend reversals with mechanical use of trendlne, chart patters and it is the best and easiest way to spot strong reversals specially when price goes up and down with a series of high and lows.

Trading reversals is made up of two-parts, one of them is emotional and other part logical. Logical part is one which is answered quickly that If risk is really worth it, specially when reward to risk is high enough that one is forced to take that risk and the emotional part is that the trader’s ego loves to call the top or bottom. The error with this emotional approach is that often, if the facts go against ones beliefs, then so much for the facts meaning that in order to protect beliefs that a top or bottom is in play, a trader will often push ahead trying to prove their theory correct.

Let's get the answer with an example

Best way to spot when a trend is about to reverse

Chart below is the cross gbp/jpy, which is in strong down trend and it is easier to spot a correction is in play when you see a series of high's and lows which can truly give an explanation that first clue of reversals will be trade with strong cash inflow in the larger to medium term downtrend.

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For me, Its always about keeping the simple and one that offers good reward to risk and which has strong logic of trading reversals. The logical part is that risk-reward is so favorable when trying to catch or trade a key turn. You often have heard how important risk to reward is to a trader’s ability to survive and thrive in their trading. Unfortunately, it’s easy to use Risk: Reward as an excuse for the emotional pull to attempt to buy the bottom or sell the top but what about the reversals offers few clues and has some strength going ahead, this approach should either be avoided or traded carefully in a manner that will be soon explained.

Friday, February 12, 2016

Price Action Supply and Demand How to Mark demand zones

How Marking correct supply and demand zones change the way you trade Hi, Traders Trading week is about to end and by far the most volatile week I have seen in past few years with stocks and Indices Futures tumbles most since the 2009 for few countries. This is not going to end anytime soon, so prepare yourself with the more to come and use tight stop loss because price rally off without correcting too much and that is why Marking Correct supply and demand zones really help.

Why I emphasis lot of marking zones, because this is a technique that professionals use to panic traders and run after their stops, specially day traders and scalpers. Rallies which engulfs the previous false break zones and traders expect another false breakouts, which never arrive the usual way as it should be as there is often hurdle that joins the party and If there is profit taking price usually take a reverse path and hence we caught in the zone of trading false breakouts.

How To Mark correct supply demand Zones


yesterday price action was key for me as we see Euro rally quite sharply this week as it is completely negatively synchronized with Usd/jpy and sharp sell-off in usd/jpy really puts bulls on tops of their game and they buy everything but usually there is profit-taking and test of demand and supply zones if there are unfilled orders left in the market and this technique is used more often than not to run after stops or punch in some new cash to build and gain more profits.

Monday, February 08, 2016

Technical Analysis of Eur/usd for the day 09-Feb -2016

Euro dollar Technical Analysis based on Candles and Support and Resistance

Hi Readers, Starting from Today I would regularly update the blog with the possible ideas whenever an opportunity is available at the end of U.S session. My analysis are purely based on supply and demand and I will cover Eur/usd, Gbp/usd and Usd/Cad, Gold and Crude.
My technical updates will valid when European session begin till the end of London and will update when to cover and when to trail.

Eur/usd Technical Analysis based on Supply and Demand and Price Action


Idea is we have strong reversals coming from the low at the start of U.S session but If there is panic in buyers they will probably test the highs with full volume and If there strong money involved there would cash Inflow at the start of most active session and Price will get rejected from 1.1245 area again and we will put stops few pips above the rejection and look to target today's low which is around 1.1090 area.

Saturday, February 06, 2016

Why I like to trade parameters Not Reports

NFP reports and trading parameters

Hi, traders
Its quite a while since I have posted my trade idea or put a step forward in learning process, but all in while I was quite busy mailing replies with whatever 2-3 hours I give to trading and look after for trade Ideas for my own personal motives.

However, It was quite a volatile week for Usd/Cad and also for Crude Oil, which I thinks pushing panic buttons among traders to rush for their own trades and close it too early or too late, But it is the truth of global market, that whatever happens there is always a risk that carries the trend and reverse them on larger scale.
Let's take a look at few of the pairs that Offers unique trading opportunities in next week for scalping or even for swing trading point of view.

Whether, it is Jpy Sunami which weaken the yen most in two decades, Chinese Growth and Aussie Mines which weaken the Gold most in two decades, Or Now Curde-Oil which weakens the Canadian dollar to significantly and Volatile one and that is why I look for trades in most volatile pair and One I took on usd/cad on Friday from 1.3840 level and still holding and looking for much more in the days to come .

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As I continue to speak off and wind off the weak and I would like to tell that further weakness in crude will put tremendous pressure on world and global equities, as cheap oil won't put a lot of faith in stocks holders that Economies like Canada and America would be able to survive and this panic will surely put pressure on Fed and other banks to put pressure on OPEC to cut supplies for further rise in price and supply cut would surely put pressure on crude as well and it all depends on type of situation we are in, as I am never in favor of supply cut as there are other suppliers like Iran inching towards their part of supplies in world oil Market.

Pressure on Crude Introduce Fresh long in Usd/Cad Positions

As I mentioned in the post above that I trade after quite a while and My position trade in Usd/Cad is still waiting for new cash flow in the markets when the market opens and I am expecting a move in London opening or U.S opening as I hardly sees price moves in Asian open as they are quite happy with cheaper crude as Japan and India will enjoy as their Inflation eases down which is seen due to Japanese yen strength.