Thursday, June 04, 2015

Japanese Candlesticks Patterns Do they help in Defining Trend Alone

Hi,
Most of the traders who follow my blog knows me what type of trader I am But I am also one of you who had torrid times trading and trade everything and First thing I try was Candlesticks Patterns.

 What is a Japanese Candlestick ?

While there is no need to explain this concept further as many of us are familiarize to this but I will surely dig in a little and discuss them more in detail in my upcoming posts.


Japanese Candlesticks Trading
Japanese Create their own old school Version of Technical analysis to trade rice. That's right, rice. Mr. Steve Nilson discovered this charting technique called "Japanese Candlesticks" learning from a fellow Japanese broker. Steve researched, studied, lived, breathed,at candlesticks,and start writing about it. and soon this technique became popular in 90's. To make this discussion short, without Steve Nilson Candlesticks candlesticks charts might have remained a buried secret. So, We can call this technique as Mr. Nelsonsticks.

Back in the day when Godzilla was still a cute little lizard, the Japanese created their own old school version of technical analysis to trade rice. That’s right, rice.

But Really If I ask you about my own experience then would you consider that Candlesticks patterns really help you define the trend, May be most of you really will raise your hands and say yes it did. But for me they do but not at all phases. Little movement at top will give some strong traders room to collect profit and again enter at better price and How would you tackle this type situations. Would you re-enter at second entry or consider first entry as best and would still trade failed test of top or bottom.

So for me, Trading alone candlesticks patterns is not the secret. Situation, patience and reason to Candlesticks is the best way to enter a trade.

Let me clear you with an example of Recent Aussie Chart .









See, Everything In trading is totally synchronize as Fundamentals allow trends to built and create a atmosphere where Technical are also supportive. For me, Its always been combination of Supply and Demand Areas and Reaction of Candlesticks when they reach or surpass the area and also the upcoming events that usually creates or reverse a trend..

But It does not happens everytime you trade because As I said earlier these all things are synchronized and I combine them with the recent market situations and demand and the speed of the trend on weekly and daily time frames and then I use negating techniques when price fall with the same pace it was rising and Candlesticks post neutral statges.

Gbp/usd chart that I posted last week fetch more than I anticipated and still looking for much more advance and I always recommend buying on dips even after Service Purchasing manager Index fall to 56.9 and It was expected much higher. But What happen with that bearish Engulfing pattern after the release.

Let's find out with the help of chart

Candlesticks bearish price action negated







So, Its quite clear after seeing the above chart that Candlesticks patterns not only thing to rely upon but situations and Imbalance is something that is driving the Price to one corner to other and this will keep happening on higher time frames and we just need to spot those scenarios where we can enter with low risk and chance of getting nice ride is much more than those large and strong fading candlesticks.

Tuesday, June 02, 2015

Gbp/usd chart Updated.

Gbp/usd Intraday Chart Updated First Of all I would like to remind everybody about my last month Chart Gbp/usd and take a look at the Chart Price has rallied to from that support which is mentioned in the above chart and Now I am still look for much stronger rallies towards 1.5800 levels where recent high is posted But that is not enough as I always look for strong levels and I would surely post the chart here again Once I saw any Institutional selling and Look to close all or part of my current positions.

How I trade Pinpoint levels in Gbp/usd



As You have seen in the Above chart, How I market levels in the chart and those are not just levels those are demand levels and Look How market approach to those levels.
It is Crucial from a trader's point of view that Market maintain Imbalance when It approached to those crucial levels and that is the fact which remains a secret to trading supply and demand and watch the last candle so strongly coming out of that lows tells us that you can't trust what you see as it take the stops of longs and Now people have to cover quickly out of shorts and looking to buy when breakouts occurs on shorter time frames.

Gbp/usd chart that I posted Earlier



Long Term View of the Gbp/usd



My long term view of Sterling or Gbp against dollar is still bullish because As you have seen I try to trade imbalance and Price has manage few swings in the past to fake the breakouts and that swing also is coming of lows of long term support and I am still looking for a move towards 1.6150 levels and there on I would like to see How price behave at those levels.

I am long from 1.5200 levels and still locked the trade at Breakeven and at no risk but still I would looking to trail my entry and start locking my profits as this counter-trend swing could be the strong off from the lows and one that rejects of from high posted a sell-off.
Eur/Usd Long term view

Friday, May 29, 2015

Australian Dollar Update Imbalance Spotted

Australian dollar update Hi, I have just recently discuss about Imbalance and then came up weekly chart of Euro Dollar

Australian dollar levels and spotted Imbalance




Australian dollar weekly chart has spotted a beautiful area of Imbalance and we have just recently open shorts from 77 cents area and that tells us that we can really get a ride untill price finds another support to rally counter trend and rally against the main trend.

What is Imbalance and How to define a trend with its help

<head> <title> Imbalance and How to spot it Its really being a point of concern to How to find a trend and How to maintain a discipline and look to bring some consistency in Trading. Well, this article is just going to help you find some crucial areas on weekly chart where you can afford to risk a certain amount of money and can really find a point where you can really enjoy your entry point and bag good risk reward ratio.

Example of Imbalance In Euro Weekly Chart


Now, we discuss what is Imbalance. Imbalance is what create trends and balance creates ranges between buyers and sellers. Now you might has idea what is Imbalance. Imbalance from a point to another point could be rallying and rejecting untill we find another level where strong buyers of sellers hunting for taking their profits and setting up for next moves.
As It is stated in the chart that Market start a new trend from high and fall sharply untill it found a support but then every rally is followed by sharp rally in the opposite direction and that is strong point we need to know.

Point is that we have to find an area where market start a new trend and rally against and then create a Imabalance which could be tested in future and resume the larger trend which is short term bullish and that's what has happened exactly.

Decision Points In Trading

Decision Making In Forex Welcome Traders

The point and topic of discussion today is How we find "Decision Points", in Forex. We all know that this currency market is driven by fear and we have some strong decision points which tells you about the history and price respect those areas and Market use to trap after collection Breakout Buying or selling orders. But the point here is how we can pinpoint those areas where market has taken a final decision and look to rally.

Decision Point taken In Gbp/usd Chart



Chart above shows us that Decision was taken after strong rally from bottom but it was taken at a very crucial resistance which had already cap the market

There was real chances that market fade away from this Breakout But demand was very strong and it rise from Historic Lows(Strong point as Historic Lows could be target of current rally)

Market could still easy fade away and start falling in the direction it was falling earlier and resume the trend but that decision was strong and market really ignore that in the first attempt and consumed the supply in the second

Market use to pause at crucial resistance making room for next moves or just sit here for days or even weeks but As I told you decision was made to breakout and when you see such breakouts after strong capped areas You need to start watching the charts as I mention in the text on chart.