Thursday, December 04, 2014

Do we see continuation after Correction In gbp/cad

Continuation in gbp/cad after end of correction

Those who continuously follow the blog posts must have known the fact that I love trading supply demand imbalance and recent decline in Crude oil really push all the Canadian dollar Pairs to reach Multi Year high but recent sell-off in Sterlingpush back the gbp/cad towards correction. But recent rally from lows give us a little clue that correction might have ended and trend is about to continue, But we need strong confirmation on daily as well as weekly charts.

Recent rally from Lows is very strong and could be a part of correction as well but price has maintain some levels and today on hourly we have some strong moves of that demand level and I will surely cover that chart during weekend.

Let's Start from Daily And Weekly Chart.

Demand levels Seen on Daily and Weekly Chart



I have mentioned two charts in a same file and both of them are completely telling us about the Demand levels, On the left we have weekly chart where we have seen few week earlier we have a big gap on weekly followed by Piercing Line Candlestick pattern though that rally lack Momentum an then on the right we have daily chart and pattern remains the same.

I will update the chart again after weekend to sum up the activity during the week on weekly and daily Charts.

Wednesday, December 03, 2014

Paradigm Shift l Value Higher Again SD basics

Value shift Higher again Supply and Demand Basics

Hi traders !
Here I am again putting lot of emphasis on Price and Value Distribution, Where I have again seen some momentum shift after Rangebound sessions extended i.e Usd/chf. Lot of time traders would think that price breakouts out of range in slow momentum trading is false and again look to short at Price extremes.

But Issue With Novice traders remain the same as they are not willing to accept what they see and Look to react looking historical support and resistance and Counter-trend moves.

But true fact of trading is Price is in strong trend and got rejected several times when it lean away from higher prices, But recent momentum look strong and Instead of remain in rangebound market conditions price has shift gears and approaching the multi-year high.

Price Action Pattern Explains


Chart above explained the Value of price and time and when it got rejected several times it does not take too much time to shift the value much higher and go through extremes which react as support or resistance. That's the truth of trading which often tells us the fact that every support and resistance has to broken some day or another and Its upto trader to react to those areas or just leave it to fade those areas as not all the areas of price has significant importance to market.

Does Trading supply and Demand still abstract You

Supply and Demand Still abstract you

If you like to know what is happening behind the scenes the the key is to develop a unique trading method. Don't look at candles or any other fibos on your screen as just red and green pictures and patterns as they are the expression of supply and demand.
Understanding true concepts will make all the difference in your Forex trading career. It will give you the ability to trade based on what the market is expressing through Price action. This resource can be useful to shift through the mountain of news and information that is produced every day and trade what you really see on the charts.

What Really Price Action Is

"What is Price Action?" is a question frequently asked by aspiring traders. This Post attempts to explain that there are no secrets when it comes to exploring the foot print of exchange rates across a chart. Nevertheless price action is more than just swing highs and swing lows. Rest assured this Post will not leave you in the dark and conclude some ever changing decisions that You need to make In you Forex Trading Techniques.

It’s easy to brush support and resistance analysis off as not important. Although obvious, this concept is rather abstract and requires some practice to be effectively used. Understanding a concept from a theoretical point of view is not synonymous with having integrated it into the practice. This section breaks down the dynamics of price action, and with the help of lots of charts, you will thoroughly understand this concept and learn how to trade with it. This new knowledge will make you see the charts with a new sense of objectivity and trade in a much more relaxed and proactive manner.

To be continued......

Saturday, November 22, 2014

Role of Candlesticks In Overall Trend Prediction

Candlesticks Patterns and Price Action In Forex Hi Traders,

Its being a busy week overall as We got some real setbacks for Euro Bulls, FOMC Tone was more of the same But ECB President Draghi really seems worried and drag Euro down once again, But thats not important Because I always back my Charts to see overall position of Strong holders who are most likely to drive the price.


Roll of Candlesticks in Overall Trend of Eur/usd chart


It was clear from the example above that most of the time in broader trend we have ranges and direction is not clear but overall bearish trend is good enough to pick entries from smaller time frames. Chart above is hourly chart and we have some ranges since last couple of days and price maintain a support where retail traders look to enter few times and scalp the market for few pips, but those who use careless approach in "Forex Market", then he or she has to pay at some time sooner or later and that was one of those days where strong money dominate and Euro Crash close to 1.10% decline which has not happened since quite a while.


Was strong holders were Driving the price up


Example above truly demonstrates the logic of Currency trading where we can say that IF that breakout to the upside was not result of Panic then why market liquidate immediately and although market react immediately next day but that has to be a part of some event or price usually gravitates to the high but breach of high after few attempts was not possible and hence market needs sometime to react and that reaction come prior to release of a Crucial event and all we need was to wait for breakouts and use logic if that was a pullback entry offered at the top of the range.
Rule of the thumb is never buy at the upside breakout and never sell at the downside breakout but that does not clear the fact that you always look to pick tops and bottoms but overall logic has something to do here where price made few attempts earlier to breach the top and was in sideways market and Overall picture was bearish.

Take a look at Usd/chf Chart which is Negatively Correlated With Euro


Here I have posted a chart of usd/chf which is negatively correlated and that chart I post on "Friday" as well, where I mention Value Migrates immediately and there was no stopping afterwards and If you watch at the bottom that if price was reversing then why it did not move exotically against the overall trend, which is in itself a great clue that market don't want to move away from higher prices and consolidate after every sell off and suddenly we see some buying interest and market try to breakout with early sign of buying which is exactly opposite of the charts I posted above of Eurodollar.

You still think Candlesticks plays any role in predicting the trend.

I am not denying the fact that candlesticks are important and they represents the activity of traders but If you do want to utilize it then use it with the overall picture and Use it on higher time frames where it truly signifies the overall picture and who remain in control for a particular week or day.

Friday, November 21, 2014

Concept of Advertising Mechanism

Strong trend Rejections In Currencies

I hereby make this post to let everybody know How price use to trap traders with Spikes that fadeout and When ever price in strong trends fade away It use to get Rejected by Market and Lower prices are not accepted in any case.
Price Concept is all about "Advertising Mechanism", And When we really want to trade good throughout then we must understand the simple logic and If spike got fade out quickly, we should immediately leave the market and think of better price if there is any pullback offered after spike.
The chart I posted here of Usd/chf in which we have seen that price in very strong trend recently on H4 and Daily chart and On H1 chart which I think is the best way for swing as well as Intraday Traders to set the lowest stops possible, got rejected so many times from the low and When you watch the price closely then You will see that at every low Price founds strong buyers and at this time I will look to see the follow-through and would like to see price try to fade out the Price Action again and Traders got trapped by this behavior and try cover and We will see price got some new buyers and test the new high or even make a new high.