Thursday, August 07, 2014

Another Example of Mature trend Relationship with Candlesticks

Role of Candles in Predicting the Overall Price Action

We have a live trade going on which I would like to see how demand area behaves when trend is mature enough and look to reverse.

Role of strong Momentum Candles

or Elongated Candles

When we looking for a trend to reverse We Use following points as checklist :-

A. Liquidation ( How price has behave when sell-off taken place)

B. Recovery (Whether the attempt to recover was successful)

C. Momentum Candles (How price behave at strong momentum or initiative Breaks)

D. Candlesticks Traps (When price reverse, Does a candlesticks pattern entry was offered)

Above mentioned checklist, Is must have when we prepare any "Forex Trading Strategies",because these are strong points which are considered when we look to trade reversals and most important one for me strong liquidation after strong trend and after that attempt to recover and then was there any pullback entry was offered and then try to see the last but the strong that whether price reverse after that pattern amid strong momentum candles .

That is how We trade reversals and I would advice everybody to prepare a Journal or checklist to trade reversal or if you want to trade pullbacks I have shown some good strong points how to trade pullbacks in this blog and Would post again from time to time If situation demands or any requests are made.

Role of Elongated Candles in Understanding Contet

Role of Candles in Predicting the Overall Price Actiion

Role of Elongated Candles in Predicting the overall Picture

I got numerous of charts and request regarding How strong candles can works as strong reversals when we try predict it as a part of Reversal.

I will clear it in few examples that how we can see mature trend followed by bounce of the inner space of that elongated candles and then we see Price test the high after find the low of correctional bottom

Most of time In Currencies case, Price do tend to behave and take much more time in reversing rather in cases of stocks and commodities, When price does tend good time at the top then we always realize that It is holding high prices and will offer a pullback but it never come specially when first attempt to reverse it too strong as in this case

That attempt was so strong that it did not offer and candlestick pattern to offer pullback but if You watch the next attempt to revise from the Inside of elongated candle it does offer couple patterns which fails and price finally rise when it test that candle.

As I always suggest that never sell at the downside breakout or never buy at the upside breakout but try to built such trading strategies or breakout systems that offer lot of logic, As in this case. It's not easy to built a reliable systems but still for trading something has to have enough potential to compete with the best in the industry.

Sunday, August 03, 2014

Time for monthly updates.

We have seen extended accumulation as I am updating monthly charts

Take a Look at the Update USD/CHF Chart

Extended Accumulation and Reference Points

Risk reward ratio, high probability trades,Trade with naked eye, Intra-day technical, risk management

Hi, Traders I am here updating Usd/chf as the first monthly update on the basis of previous month trading activity. I have seen previous month extended accumulation and risk of reversal is minimal but even if it is reverse than we should look to go long around 0.8853 area but as We have seen the test could be successful of 0.9138 area(As After testing the area on Friday Price is holding that area) and if I am right price will start rising with aggressive volumes coming in the pair again.

Those who wait for ECB meeting on Thursday can delay this setup or look around 0.8853 area which should hold when offer so much protection earlier but it all depends on type of activity if price reverses from here.

If you scan all the previous months activity then to start with we have we neutral months which make the breakout and after those reference points price went in range after rejection from upper boundary of the rectangle as I mentioned in while line.

Price rejection from upper and then from lower boundary confirms the setup but stil more aggressiveness should be here to make this set up successful.

This type of setups are quite rare

Exactly, when someone look for setups then One must look for this type of setups which offers low risk and maximum reward opportunity and that could be the one which could really start a new trend from here on and that would be the strongest of the trend what we have seen, And a rejection from here will let you add more around 0.8850 area , But that's not the way I trade but that's how position traders use to enter.